Winning at the Derby

Ways to win at the Derby Make two lists: one is favorites, second is non favorites or longshots. Use your noodle. Don't listen to every handicapper, friend, or foe who tries to tell you who will win this race. That includes me as well. Think for yourself. Do not bet Jockey or Trainer. Each one of them is the same in one respect...Each really wants to win this as much as the next one. You can rely on statistics. The history is simple. With twenty horses racing, the horses that are in gates 5 through 12 have the best chance to win. Best not to use all favorites or all longshots...if you are betting exotics which are exactas, trifectas, and superfectas. Pick 3's and 4's are best with combinations of favorites and longshots also. I am really writing this for the benefit of those who are not long time horseracing fans but who are just going to have fun or for the first or second time...friends in VW and family. \ Do not overlook horses that have odds of 20 to 1 or 30 to 1 as they may show up in second or third position in a trifecta or superfecta...that is their entire purpose...to pay big paydays to the lucky fan who knows which of those to combine with the favorite who just might make it into the winner's circle. If you think that sharing something in common with my nephew Bryce or my cousin Rita is a good omen, then bet El Padrino. If you think that sharing something in common with me is a good omen, then bet Bodemeister. That is all the tips I can give you for now. A longshot which may work is Went the Day Well, and another I like is Mark Valeski if his heel is really healed up to be in this race. Maybe he should sit it out to go for the Belmont. I saw El Padrino and Mark Valeski as looking like Affirmed and Alydar in the Risen Star...but things change. Neither are like that at all. Personally, I like Gemologist too...he is undefeated so far, and has a great attitude when he is on camera. Truly, the best horses to win the roses are BED...Bodemeister, ElPadrino, and Dullahan, with Creative Cause and I'll Have Another. Mark Valeski is good if his heel is well. If not, forget it. Like I said, choose your own horses. Those are my best bets. Bodemeister is THE BEST no doubt about it...but it is a crapshoot as his trainer says, and anything goes...double arrows up! Hope they are good luck! Good Luck.